Abstract
In order to provide convenient data to assess rainfall simulated by Regional Climate Models, a spatial database (hereafter called K-REF) has been designed. This database is used to examine climatological features of rainfall in Southeast France, a study region characterized by two mountain ranges of comparable altitude (the Cévennes and the Alps foothill) on both sides of the Rhône valley. Hourly records from 1993 to 2013 have been interpolated to a \(0.1^{\circ } \times 0.1^{\circ }\) latitude–longitude regular grid and accumulated over 3-h periods in K-REF. The assessment of K-REF relatively to the SAFRAN daily rainfall reanalysis indicates consistent patterns and magnitudes between the two datasets even though K-REF fields are smoother. A multi-scale analysis of the occurrence and non-zero intensity of rainfall is performed and shows that the maps of the 50th and 95th percentiles of 3- and 24-h rain intensity highlight different patterns. The maxima of the 50th and 95th percentiles are located over plain and mountainous areas respectively. Moreover, the location of these maxima is not the same for the 3- and 24-h intensities. To understand these differences between median and intense rainfall on the one hand and between the 3- and 24-h rainfall on the other hand, we analyze the statistical distributions and the space-time structure of occurrence and intensity of the 3-h rainfall in two classes of days, defined as median and intense. This analysis illustrates the influence of two factors on the triggering and the intensity of rain in the region: the solar cycle and the orography. The orographic forcing appears to be quite different for the two ranges of the domain and is much more pronounced over the Cévennes.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Alpert P (1986) Mesoscale indexing of the distribution of orographic precipitation over high mountains. J Clim Appl Meteorol 25(4):532–545
Alpert P, Shafir H (1989) Meso\(\gamma\)-scale distribution of orographic precipitation: numerical study and comparison with precipitation derived from radar measurements. J Appl Meteorol 28(10):1105–1117
Bastin G, Lorent B, Duqué C, Gevers M (1984) Optimal estimation of the average areal rainfall and optimal selection of rain gauge locations. Water Resour Res 20(4):463–470. doi:10.1029/WR020i004p00463
Bastin S, Drobinski P, Dabas A, Delville P, Reitebuch O, Werner C (2005) Impact of the Rhône and Durance valleys on sea-breeze circulation in the Marseille area. Atmos Res 74(1):303–328. doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2004.04.014
Berne A, Delrieu G, Boudevillain B (2009) Variability of the spatial structure of intense Mediterranean precipitation. Adv Water Resour 32(7):1031–1042
Biasutti M, Yuter SE, Burleyson CD, Sobel AH (2012) Very high resolution rainfall patterns measured by TRMM precipitation radar: seasonal and diurnal cycles. Clim Dyn 39(1–2):239–258. doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1146-6
Boé J, Terray L, Habets F, Martin E (2007) Statistical and dynamical downscaling of the Seine basin climate for hydro-meteorological studies. Int J Clim 27(12):1643–1655. doi:10.1002/joc.1602
Ceresetti D, Molinié G, Creutin JD (2010) Scaling properties of heavy rainfall at short duration: a regional analysis. Water Resour Res 46(9):W09,531. doi:10.1029/2009WR008603
Ceresetti D, Anquetin S, Molinié G, Leblois E, Creutin JD (2012) Multiscale evaluation of extreme rainfall event predictions using severity diagrams. Weather Forecast 27(1):174–188. doi:10.1175/WAF-D-11-00003.1
Chardon J, Hingray B, Favre AC, Autin P, Gailhard J, Zin I, Obled C (2014) Spatial similarity and transferability of analog dates for precipitation downscaling over France. J Clim 27(13):5056–5074. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00464.1
Chen CT, Knutson T (2008) On the verification and comparison of extreme rainfall indices from climate models. J Clim 21(7):1605–1621. doi:10.1175/2007JCLI1494.1
Chilès JP, Delfiner P (1999) Geostatistics. Modeling Spatial Uncertainty, Wiley-Interscience Publication Edition. Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics, Wiley, New York
Creutin JD, Obled C (1982) Objective analyses and mapping techniques for rainfall fields: an objective comparison. Water Resour Res 18(2):413–431. doi:10.1029/WR018i002p00413
Dai A (2006) Precipitation characteristics in eighteen coupled climate models. J Clim 19(18):4605–4630. doi:10.1175/JCLI3884.1
Dai A, Giorgi F, Trenberth KE (1999) Observed and model-simulated diurnal cycles of precipitation over the contiguous United States. J Geophys Res Atmos 104(D6):6377–6402. doi:10.1029/98JD02720
Dai A, Lin X, Hsu KL (2007) The frequency, intensity, and diurnal cycle of precipitation in surface and satellite observations over low- and mid-latitudes. Clim Dyn 29(7–8):727–744. doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0260-y
De Michele C, Kottegoda NT, Rosso R (2001) The derivation of areal reduction factor of storm rainfall from its scaling properties. Water Resour Res 37(12):3247–3252. doi:10.1029/2001WR000346
Delhomme JP (1978) Kriging in the hydrosciences. Adv Water Resour 1(5):251–266. doi:10.1016/0309-1708(78)90039-8
Delrieu G, Ducrocq V, Gaume E, Nicol J, Payrastre O, Yates E, Kirstetter PE, Andrieu H, Ayral PA, Bouvier C, Creutin JD, Livet M, Anquetin S, Lang M, Neppel L, Obled C, Parent-du-Châtelet J, Saulnier GM, Walpersdorf A, Wobrock W (2005) The catastrophic flash-flood event of 8–9 september 2002 in the Gard region, France: A first case study for the Cévennes-Vivarais mediterranean hydrometeorological observatory. J Hydrometeorol 6(1):34–52
Drobinski P, Bastin S, Dabas A, Delville P, Reitebuch O (2006) Variability of three-dimensional sea breeze structure in southern France: observations and evaluation of empirical scaling laws. Ann Geophys 24(7):1783–1799
Ducrocq V, Nuissier O, Ricard D, Lebeaupin C, Thouvenin T (2008) A numerical study of three catastrophic precipitating events over southern France. II: Mesoscale triggering and stationarity factors. Q J R Meteorol Soc 134(630):131–145. doi:10.1002/qj.199
Flato G, Marotzke J, Abiodun B, Braconnot P, Chou S, Collins W, Cox P, Driouech F, Emori S, Eyring V, Forest C, Gleckler P, Guilyardi E, Jakob C, Kattsov V, Reason C, Rummukainen M (2013) Evaluation of climate models. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, cambridge university press edn, Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA
Frei C, Schär C (1998) A precipitation climatology of the Alps from high-resolution rain-gauge observations. Int J Climatol 18(8):873–900
Fresnay S, Hally A, Garnaud C, Richard E, Lambert D (2012) Heavy precipitation events in the Mediterranean: sensitivity to cloud physics parameterisation uncertainties. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 12(8):2671–2688. doi:10.5194/nhess-12-2671-2012
Giorgi F (2006) Climate change hot-spots. Geophys Res Lett 33(L08):707. doi:10.1029/2006GL025734
Giorgi F, Lionello P (2008) Climate change projections for the Mediterranean region. Glob Planet Change 63:90–104. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2007.09.005
Giorgi F, Jones C, Asrar GR (2009) Addressing climate information needs at the regional level: the CORDEX framework. World Meteorol Organ (WMO) Bull 58(3):175
Giorgi F, Im ES, Coppola E, Diffenbaugh NS, Gao XJ, Mariotti L, Shi Y (2011) Higher Hydroclimatic Intensity with Global Warming. J Clim 24(20):5309–5324. doi:10.1175/2011JCLI3979.1
Godart A, Anquetin S, Leblois E (2009) Rainfall regimes associated with banded convection in the Cévennes-Vivarais area. Meteorol Atmos Phys 103(1–4):25–34. doi:10.1007/s00703-008-0326-3
Godart A, Leblois E, Anquetin S, Freychet N (2010) Analysis of the relationship between banded orographic convection and atmospheric properties using factorial discriminant analysis and neural networks. J Appl Meteorol Climatol 49(4):646–663. doi:10.1175/2009JAMC2217.1
Godart A, Anquetin S, Leblois E, Creutin JD (2011) The contribution of orographically driven banded precipitation to the rainfall climatology of a Mediterranean region. J Appl Meteorol Climatol 50(11):2235–2246. doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-10-05016.1
Haylock MR, Hofstra N, Klein Tank AMG, Klok EJ, Jones PD, New M (2008) A european daily high-resolution gridded data set of surface temperature and precipitation for 1950–2006. J Geophys Res Atmos 113(D20):119. doi:10.1029/2008JD010201
Hewitson BC, Crane RG (1996) Climate downscaling: techniques and application. Clim Res 07(2):85–95. doi:10.3354/cr007085
Hill CM, Fitzpatrick PJ, Corbin JH, Lau YH, Bhate SK (2010) Summertime precipitation regimes associated with the sea breeze and land breeze in Southern Mississippi and Eastern Louisiana. Weather Forecast 25(6):1755–1779. doi:10.1175/2010WAF2222340.1
Huffman GJ, Adler RF, Morrissey MM, Bolvin DT, Curtis S, Joyce R, McGavock B, Susskind J (2001) Global precipitation at one-degree daily resolution from multisatellite observations. J Hydrometeorol 2(1):36–50
Johnson GL, Hanson CL (1995) Topographic and atmospheric influences on precipitation variability over a mountainous watershed. J Appl Meteorol 34(1):68–87. doi:10.1175/1520-0450-34.1.68
Koutsoyiannis D (1997) Statistical hydrology. Dep Water Resour Hydraul and Maritime Eng Natl Tech Univ of Athens, Athens, Greece
Lebel T, Bastin G, Obled C, Creutin JD (1987) On the accuracy of areal rainfall estimation: a case study. Water Resour Res 23(11):2123–2134. doi:10.1029/WR023i011p02123
Leblois E, Creutin JD (2013) Space-time simulation of intermittent rainfall with prescribed advection field: adaptation of the turning band method: Simulation of Rainfall with Advection Field. Water Resour Res 49(6):3375–3387. doi:10.1002/wrcr.20190
Lepioufle JM, Leblois E, Creutin JD (2012) Variography of rainfall accumulation in presence of advection. J Hydrol 464–465:494–504. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.07.041
Mandapaka PV, Germann U, Panziera L (2013) Diurnal cycle of precipitation over complex Alpine orography: inferences from high-resolution radar observations. Q J R Meteorol Soc 139(673):1025–1046. doi:10.1002/qj.2013
Maraun D, Wetterhall F, Ireson AM, Chandler RE, Kendon EJ, Widmann M, Brienen S, Rust HW, Sauter T, Themel M, Venema VKC, Chun KP, Goodess CM, Jones RG, Onof C, Vrac M, Thiele-Eich I (2010) Precipitation downscaling under climate change: Recent developments to bridge the gap between dynamical models and the end user. Reviews of Geophysics 48(3):RG3003, doi:10.1029/2009RG000314
Mariotti A, Pan Y, Zeng N, Alessandri A (2015) Long-term climate change in the Mediterranean region in the midst of decadal variability. Clim Dyn 44(5–6):1437–1456. doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2487-3
Mearns LO, Bogardi I, Giorgi F, Matyasovszky I, Palecki M (1999) Comparison of climate change scenarios generated from regional climate model experiments and statistical downscaling. J Geophys Res Atmos 104(D6):6603–6621. doi:10.1029/1998JD200042
Michaud J, Auvine BA, Penalba OC (1995) Spatial and elevational variations of summer rainfall in the southwestern United States. J Appl Meteorol 34(12):2689–2703
Miniscloux F, Creutin JD, Anquetin S (2001) Geostatistical analysis of orographic rainbands. J Appl Meteorol 40(11):1835–1854
Mitchell TD, Jones PD (2005) An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated high-resolution grids. Int J Climatol 25(6):693–712. doi:10.1002/joc.1181
Molinié G, Ceresetti D, Anquetin S, Creutin JD, Boudevillain B (2012) Rainfall regime of a mountainous mediterranean region: statistical analysis at short time steps. J Appl Meteorol Climatol 51(3):429–448. doi:10.1175/2011JAMC2691.1
Nesbitt SW, Zipser EJ (2003) The diurnal cycle of rainfall and convective intensity according to three years of TRMM measurements. J Clim 16(10):1456–1475
Nikulin G, Jones C, Giorgi F, Asrar G, Büchner M, Cerezo-Mota R, Christensen OB, Déqué M, Fernandez J, Hänsler A, van Meijgaard E, Samuelsson P, Sylla MB, Sushama L (2012) Precipitation climatology in an ensemble of CORDEX-Africa regional climate simulations. J Clim 25(18):6057–6078. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00375.1
Nuissier O, Ducrocq V, Ricard D, Lebeaupin C, Anquetin S (2008) A numerical study of three catastrophic precipitating events over southern France. I: Numerical framework and synoptic ingredients. Q J R Meteorol Soc 134(630):111–130. doi:10.1002/qj.200
Oki T, Musiake K (1994) Seasonal change of the diurnal cycle of precipitation over Japan and Malaysia. J Appl Meteorol 33(12):1445–1463
Pielke RA (1974) A three-dimensional numerical model of the sea breezes over South Florida. Mon Weather Rev 102(2):115–139
Quintana-Seguí P, Le Moigne P, Durand Y, Martin E, Habets F, Baillon M, Canellas C, Franchisteguy L, Morel S (2008) Analysis of near-surface atmospheric variables: validation of the SAFRAN analysis over france. J Appl Meteorol Climatol 47(1):92–107. doi:10.1175/2007JAMC1636.1
Quintana-Seguí P, Ribes A, Martin E, Habets F, Boé J (2010) Comparison of three downscaling methods in simulating the impact of climate change on the hydrology of Mediterranean basins. J Hydrol 383(1–2):111–124. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.09.050
Quintana Seguí P (2008) Simulation hydrologique en région méditerranéenne avec SAFRAN-ISBA-MODCOU. Amélioration de la physique et évaluation des risques dans le cadre du changement climatique. PhD thesis, Université Paul Sabatier, Toulouse, France
Reichler T, Kim J (2008) How well do coupled models simulate today’s climate? Bull Am Meteorol Soc 89(3):303–311. doi:10.1175/BAMS-89-3-303
Ricard D (2002) Initialisation et assimilation de données à méso-échelle pour la prévision à haute résolution des pluies intenses de la région Cévennes-Vivarais. PhD thesis, Université Paul Sabatier-Toulouse III, France
Ruin I, Creutin JD, Anquetin S, Lutoff C (2008) Human exposure to flash floods-Relation between flood parameters and human vulnerability during a storm of September 2002 in southern France. J Hydrol 361(1–2):199–213. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2008.07.044
Ruti PM, Somot S, Giorgi F, Dubois C, Flaounas E, Obermann A, Dell’Aquila A, Pisacane G, Harzallah A, Lombardi E, Ahrens B, Akhtar N, Alias A, Arsouze T, Aznar R, Bastin S, Bartholy J, Béranger K, Beuvier J, Bouffies-Cloché S, Brauch J, Cabos W, Calmanti S, Calvet JC, Carillo A, Conte D, Coppola E, Djurdjevic V, Drobinski P, Elizalde-Arellano A, Gaertner M, Galàn P, Gallardo C, Gualdi S, Goncalves M, Jorba O, Jordà G, L’Heveder B, Lebeaupin-Brossier C, Li L, Liguori G, Lionello P, Maciàs D, Nabat P, Onol B, Raikovic B, Ramage K, Sevault F, Sannino G, Struglia M, Sanna A, Torma C, Vervatis V (2015) MED-CORDEX initiative for Mediterranean climate studies. Bull Am Meteorol Soc. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00176.1
Sénési S, Bougeault P, Chèze JL, Cosentino P, Thepenier RM (1996) The Vaison-La-Romaine Flash flood: mesoscale analysis and predictability issues. Weather Forecast 11(4):417–442
Skelly WC, Henderson-Sellers A (1996) Grid box or grid point: what type of data do GCMs deliver to climate impact researchers? Int J Climatol 16(10):1079–1086
Vidal JP, Martin E, Franchistéguy L, Baillon M, Soubeyroux JM (2010) A 50-year high-resolution atmospheric reanalysis over France with the Safran system. Int J Climatol 30(11):1627–1644. doi:10.1002/joc.2003
Vié B, Molinié G, Nuissier O, Vincendon B, Ducrocq V, Bouttier F, Richard E (2012) Hydro-meteorological evaluation of a convection-permitting ensemble prediction system for Mediterranean heavy precipitating events. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 12(8):2631–2645. doi:10.5194/nhess-12-2631-2012
Xie P, Arkin PA (1997) Global precipitation: a 17-year monthly analysis based on gauge observations, satellite estimates, and numerical model outputs. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 78(11):2539–2558
Yates E (2006) Convection en région Cévennes-Vivarais: Etude de données pluviométriques, simulations numériques et validation multi-échelles. PhD thesis, Institut National Polytechnique de Grenoble, France
Yates E, Anquetin S, Ducrocq V, Creutin JD, Ricard D, Chancibault K (2006) Point and areal validation of forecast precipitation fields. Meteorol Appl 13(01):1–20. doi:10.1017/S1350482705001921
Zepeda-Arce J, Foufoula-Georgiou E, Droegemeier KK (2000) Space-time rainfall organization and its role in validating quantitative precipitation forecasts. J Geophys Res Atmos 105(D8):10,129–10,146. doi:10.1029/1999JD901087
Acknowledgments
This work is part of the Med-CORDEX initiative (www.medcordex.eu) supported by the HYdrological cycle in The Mediterranean EXperiment (HyMeX) programme (www.hymex.org). This research has received funding from the French National Research Agency (ANR) project REMEMBER (contract ANR-12-SENV-001). The rainfall data were provided by Météo-France, in the framework of the OHM-CV observation service funded by CNRS/INSU and Université Grenoble Alpes/OSUG.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
This paper is a contribution to the special issue on Med-CORDEX, an international coordinated initiative dedicated to the multi-component regional climate modelling (atmosphere, ocean, land surface, river) of the Mediterranean under the umbrella of HyMeX, CORDEX, and Med-CLIVAR and coordinated by Samuel Somot, Paolo Ruti, Erika Coppola, Gianmaria Sannino, Bodo Ahrens, and Gabriel Jordà.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Froidurot, S., Molinié, G. & Diedhiou, A. Climatology of observed rainfall in Southeast France at the Regional Climate Model scales. Clim Dyn 51, 779–797 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3114-7
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3114-7