Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Lagged effects of the Mistral wind on heavy precipitation through ocean-atmosphere coupling in the region of Valencia (Spain)

  • Published:
Climate Dynamics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The region of Valencia in Spain has historically been affected by heavy precipitation events (HPEs). These HPEs are known to be modulated by the sea surface temperature (SST) of the Balearic Sea. Using an atmosphere-ocean regional climate model, we show that more than 70 % of the HPEs in the region of Valencia present a SST cooling larger than the monthly trend in the Northwestern Mediterranean before the HPEs. This is linked to the breaking of a Rossby wave preceding the HPEs: a ridge-trough pattern at mid-levels centered over western France associated with a low-level depression in the Gulf of Genoa precedes the generation of a cut-off low over southern Spain with a surface depression over the Alboran Sea in the lee of the Atlas. This latter situation is favourable to the advection of warm and moist air towards the Mediterranean Spanish coast, possibly leading to HPEs. The depression in the Gulf of Genoa generates intense northerly (Mistral) to northwesterly (Tramontane/Cierzo) winds. In most cases, these intense winds trigger entrainment at the bottom of the oceanic mixed layer which is a mechanism explaining part of the SST cooling in most cases. Our study suggests that the SST cooling due to this strong wind regime then persists until the HPEs and reduces the precipitation intensity.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Berthou S, Mailler S, Drobinski P, Arsouze T, Bastin S, Béranger K, Lebeaupin Brossier C (2014) Prior history of mistral and tramontane winds modulates heavy precipitation events in southern France. Tellus A 66. doi:10.3402/tellusa.v66.24064

  • Berthou S, Mailler S, Drobinski P, Arsouze T, Bastin S, Béranger K, Lebeaupin-Brossier C (2015) Sensitivity of an intense rain event between atmosphere-only and atmosphere-ocean regional coupled models: 19 september 1996. Q J R Meteorol Soc 141:258–271. doi:10.1002/qj.2355

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Berthou S, Mailler S, Drobinski P, Arsouze T, Bastin S, Béranger K, Flaounas E, Lebeaupin Brossier C, Stéfanon M (2016) Influence of submonthly air-sea coupling on heavy precipitation events in the western mediterranean basin. Q J R Meteorol Soc. doi:10.1002/qj.2717

  • Beuvier J, Béranger K, Lebeaupin Brossier C, Somot S, Sevault F, Drillet Y, Bourdallé-Badie R, Ferry N, Lyard F (2012) Spreading of the western Mediterranean deep water after winter 2005: time scales and deep cyclone transport. J Geophys Res 117. doi:10.1029/2011JC007679

  • Brankart J, Brasseur P (1998) The general circulation in the Mediterranean sea: a climatological approach. J Mar Syst 18(1–3):41–70. doi:10.1016/S0924-7963(98)00005-0

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Buongiorno Nardelli B, Tronconi C, Pisano A (2014) MyOcean PRODUCT USER MANUAL for reprocessed level 4 SST products over the mediterranean and black seas. MyOcean

  • Colin J (2012) Étude des événements précipitants intenses en méditerranée: approche par la modélisation climatique régionale. PhD thesis, Université Paul Sabatier, Toulouse 3, France, Toulouse, France

  • Doswell CA III, Ramis C, Romero R, Alonso S (1998) A diagnostic study of three heavy precipitation episodes in the western Mediterranean region. Weather Forecast 13(1):102–124

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Drobinski P, Flamant C, Dusek J, Flamant P, Pelon J (2001) Observational evidence and modeling of an internal hydraulic jump at the atmospheric boundary layer top during a tramontane event. Bound-Lay Meteorol 98:497–515

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Drobinski P, Bastin S, Guénard V, Caccia J, Dabas AM, Delville P, Protat A, Reitebuch O, Werner C (2005) Summer mistral at the exit of the rhône valley. Q J R Meteorol Soc 131:353–375

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Drobinski P, Anav A, Lebeaupin Brossier C, Samson G, Stéfanon M, Bastin S, Baklouti M, Béranger K, Beuvier J, Bourdallé-Badie R, Coquart L, D’Andrea F, de Noblet-Ducoudré N, Diaz F, Dutay JC, Ethe C, Foujols MA, Khvorostyanov D, Madec G, Mancip M, Masson S, Menut L, Palmieri J, Polcher J, Turquety S, Valcke S, Viovy N (2012) Model of the regional coupled earth system (MORCE): application to process and climate studies in vulnerable regions. Environ Model Softw 35:1–18. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.01.017

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Drobinski P, Ducrocq V, Alpert P, Anagnostou E, Béranger K, Borga M, Braud I, Chanzy A, Davolio S, Delrieu G, Estournel C, Boubrahmi NF, Font J, Grubisic V, Gualdi S, Homar V, Ivancan-Picek B, Kottmeier C, Kotroni V, Lagouvardos K, Lionello P, Llasat M, Ludwig W, Lutoff C, Mariotti A, Richard E, Romero R, Rotunno R, Roussot O, Ruin I, Somot S, Taupier-Letage I, Tintore J, Uijlenhoet R, Wernli H (2014) HyMeX, a 10-year multidisciplinary program on the Mediterranean water cycle. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 95:1063–1082. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00242.1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ducrocq V, Braud I, Davolio S, Ferretti R, Flamant C, Jans A, Kalthoff N, Richard E, Taupier-Letage I, Ayral PA, Belamari S, Berne A, Borga M, Boudevillain B, Bock O, Boichard JL, Bouin MN, Bousquet O, Bouvier C, Chiggiato J, Cimini D, Corsmeier U, Coppola L, Cocquerez P, Defer E, Delano J, Di Girolamo P, Doerenbecher A, Drobinski P, Dufournet Y, Fourri N, Gourley JJ, Labatut L, Lambert D, Le Coz J, Marzano FS, Molini G, Montani A, Nord G, Nuret M, Ramage K, Rison B, Roussot O, Said F, Schwarzenboeck A, Testor P, Van-Baelen J, Vincendon B, Aran M, Tamayo J (2014) HyMeX-SOP1, the field campaign dedicated to heavy precipitation and flash flooding in the northwestern Mediterranean. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 95(7):1083–1100. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00244.1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fernández C, Gaertner M, Gallardo C, Castro M (1995) Simulation of a long-lived meso-\(\beta\) scale convective system over the mediterranean coast of spain. part i: Numerical predictability. Meteorol Atmos Phys 56(3–4):157–179

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Flamant C (2003) Alpine lee cyclogenesis influence on air-sea heat exchanges and marine atmospheric boundary layer thermodynamics over the western Mediterranean during a Tramontane/Mistral event. J Geophys Res 108(C2). doi:10.1029/2001JC001040

  • Frei C, Schll R, Fukutome S, Schmidli J, Vidale PL (2006) Future change of precipitation extremes in Europe: Intercomparison of scenarios from regional climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research 111(D6): doi:10.1029/2005JD005965

  • Garreau P, Garnier V, Schaeffer A (2011) Eddy resolving modelling of the Gulf of Lions and Catalan Sea. Ocean Dyn 61(7):991–1003. doi:10.1007/s10236-011-0399-2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Giorgi F, Jones C, Asrar GR (2009) Addressing climate information needs at the regional level: the CORDEX framework. WMO Bull 58(3):175

    Google Scholar 

  • Guénard V, Drobinski P, Caccia J, Campistron B, Bénech B (2005) An observational study of the mesoscale mistral dynamics. Bound-Lay Meteorol 115:263–288

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Guénard V, Drobinski P, Caccia J, Tedeschi G, Currier P (2006) Dynamics of the MAP IOP-15 severe mistral event: observations and high-resolution numerical simulations. Q J R Meteorol Soc 132:757–778

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Haylock M, Hofstra N, Klein Tank A, Klok E, Jones P, New M (2008) A European daily high-resolution gridded dataset of surface temperature and precipitation. J Geophys Res Atmos 113(D20):119. doi:10.1029/2008JD10201

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Herrera S, Fita L, Fernández J, Gutiérrez JM (2010) Evaluation of the mean and extreme precipitation regimes from the ENSEMBLES regional climate multimodel simulations over Spain. J Geophys Res 115(D21): doi:10.1029/2010JD013936

  • Herrera S, Gutierrez J, Ancell R, Pons MR, Frias M, Fernandez J (2012) Development and analysis of a 50 year high-resolution daily gridded precipitation dataset over Spain (spain02). Int J Climatol 32:74–85. doi:10.1002/joc.2256

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Herrmann M, Somot S, Calmanti S, Dubois C, Sevault F (2011) Representation of daily wind speed spatial and temporal variability and intense wind events over the mediterranean sea using dynamical downscaling: impact of the regional climate model configuration. NHESS 11:1983–2001. doi:10.5194/nhess-11-1983-2011

    Google Scholar 

  • Homar V, Romero R, Ramis C, Alonso S (2002) Numerical study of the october 2000 torrential precipitation event over eastern Spain: analysis of the synoptic-scale stationarity. Ann Geophys 20:2047–2066. doi:10.5194/angeo-20-2047-2002

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Houpert L, Testor P, Durrieu de Madron X, Somot S, DOrtenzio F, Estournel C, Lavigne H (2015) Seasonal cycle of the mixed layer, the seasonal thermocline and the upper-ocean heat storage rate in the Mediterranean Sea derived from observations. Prog Oceanogr 132:333–352. doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2014.11.004, http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0079661114001797

  • Jiang Q, Smith RB, Doyle J (2003) The nature of the mistral: observations and modelling of two MAP events. Q J R Meteorol Soc 129(588):857–875. doi:10.1256/qj.02.21

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Juza M, Renault L, Ruiz S, Tintoré J (2013) Origin and pathways of winter intermediate water in the northwestern mediterranean sea using observations and numerical simulation. J Geophys Res Oceans 118:1–13. doi:10.1002/2013JC009231

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kain JS (2004) The Kain–Fritsch convective parameterization: an update. J Appl Meteorol 43(1):170–181. doi:10.1175/1520-0450(2004)043

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kain JS, Fritsch JM (1990) A one-dimensional entraining/detraining plume model and its application in convective parameterization. J Atmos Sci 47(23):2784–2802

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Katsafados P, Mavromatidis E, Papadopoulos A, Pytharoulis I (2011) Numerical simulation of a deep Mediterranean storm and its sensitivity on sea surface temperature. NHESS 11(5):1233–1246. doi:10.5194/nhess-11-1233-2011

    Google Scholar 

  • Lebeaupin C, Ducrocq V, Giordani H (2006) Sensitivity of torrential rain events to the sea surface temperature based on high-resolution numerical forecasts. J Geophys Res Atmos 111(D12). doi:10.1029/2005JD006541

  • Lebeaupin Brossier C, Drobinski P (2009) Numerical high-resolution air-sea coupling over the gulf of lions during two tramontane/mistral events. J Geophys Res 114(D10). doi:10.1029/2008JD011601

  • Lebeaupin Brossier C, Béranger K, Deltel C, Drobinski P (2011) The Mediterranean response to different space–time resolution atmospheric forcings using perpetual mode sensitivity simulations. Ocean Model 36(1–2):1–25. doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2010.10.008

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lebeaupin Brossier C, Drobinski P, Béranger K, Bastin S, Orain F (2013) Ocean memory effect on the dynamics of coastal heavy precipitation preceded by a mistral event in the northwestern Mediterranean. Q J R Meteorol Soc 139:1583–1897. doi:10.1002/qj.2049

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lebeaupin Brossier C, Arsouze T, Béranger K, Bouin MN, Bresson E, Ducrocq V, Giordani H, Nuret M, Rainaud R, Taupier-Letage I (2014) Ocean Mixed Layer responses to intense meteorological events during HyMeX-SOP1 from a high-resolution ocean simulation. Ocean Model 84:84–103. doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2014.09.009

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Levitus S, Antonov J, Boyer T (2005) Warming of the world ocean, 1955–2003. Geophys Res Lett 32(2). doi:10.1029/2004GL021592

  • Littmann T (2000) An empirical classification of weather types in the mediterranean basin and their interrelation with rainfall. Theor Appl Climatol 66(3–4):161–171

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Madec G, the NEMO Team (2008) Nemo ocean engine. Tech. rep., Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace (IPSL), Paris, France

  • Masson V, Bougeault P (1996) Numerical simulation of a low-level wind created by complex orography: a cierzo case study. Mon Weather Rev 124(4):701–715

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Miglietta MM, Moscatello A, Conte D, Mannarini G, Lacorata G, Rotunno R (2011) Numerical analysis of a mediterranean hurricaneover south-eastern italy: sensitivity experiments to sea surface temperature. Atmos Res 101(1):412–426

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Millán M, Estrela MJ, Caselles V (1995) Torrential precipitations on the Spanish east coast: the role of the Mediterranean sea surface temperature. Atmos Res 36(1):1–16. doi:10.1016/0169-8095(94)00048-I

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Millán MM, Estrela MJ, Miró J (2005) Rainfall components: variability and spatial distribution in a Mediterranean Area (Valencia Region). J Clim 18(14):2682–2705

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Noh Y, Cheon WG, Hong SY, Raasch S (2003) Improvement of the k-profile model for the planetary boundary layer based on large eddy simulation data. Bound-Lay Meteorol 107(2):401–427. doi:10.1023/A:1022146015946

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Obermann A, Bastin S, Belamari S, Conte D, Gaertner MA, Li L, Ahrens B (2016) Mistral and tramontane wind speed and wind direction patterns in regional climate simulations. Clim Dyn 1–18. doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3053-3

  • Omrani H, Drobinski P, Dubos T (2013) Optimal nudging strategies in regional climate modelling: investigation in a big-brother experiment over the European and Mediterranean regions. Clim Dyn 41:2451–2470. doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1615-6

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pastor F, Estrela MJ, Peñarrocha D, Millán MM (2001) Torrential rains on the Spanish Mediterranean coast: modeling the effects of the sea surface temperature. J Appl Meteorol 40(7):1180–1195. doi:10.1175/1520-0450(2001)040<1180:TROTSM>2.0.CO;2

  • Pastor F, Gómez I, Estrela MJ (2010) Numerical study of the October 2007 flash flood in the Valencia region (Eastern Spain): the role of orography. NHESS 10(6):1331–1345. doi:10.5194/nhess-10-1331-2010

    Google Scholar 

  • Pastor F, Valiente JA, Estrela MJ (2015) Sea surface temperature and torrential rains in the Valencia region: modelling the role of recharge areas. NHESS Discussions 3(2):1357–1396. doi:10.5194/nhessd-3-1357-2015

    Google Scholar 

  • Peñarrocha D, Estrela MJ, Millán M (2002) Classification of daily rainfall patterns in a Mediterranean area with extreme intensity levels: the Valencia region. Int J Climatol 22(6):677–695. doi:10.1002/joc.747

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Prein AF, Gobiet A, Truhetz H, Keuler K, Goergen K, Teichmann C, Fox Maule C, van Meijgaard E, Déqué M, Nikulin G, Vautard R, Colette A, Kjellström E, Jacob D (2015a) Precipitation in the EURO-CORDEX \(0.11^\circ\) and \(0.44^\circ\) simulations: high resolution, high benefits? Clim Dyn. doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2589-y

  • Prein AF, Langhans W, Fosser G, Ferrone A, Ban N, Goergen K, KellerM, Tlle M, Gutjahr O, Feser F, Brisson E, Kollet S, Schmidli J, vanLipzig NPM, Leung R (2015b) A review on regional convection-permitting climate modeling: demonstrations, prospects, and challenges. Rev Geophys. doi:10.1002/2014RG000475

  • Ramis C, Romero R, Homar V, Alonso S, Alarcón M (1998) Diagnosis and numerical simulation of a torrential precipitation event in catalonia (Spain). Meteorol Atmos Phys 69(1–2):1–21

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Romero R, Guijarro J, Ramis C, Alonso S (1998) A 30-year (1964–1993) daily rainfall data base for the Spanish Mediterranean regions: first exploratory study. Int J Climatol 18(5):541–560

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Romero R, Sumner G, Ramis C, Genovés A (1999) A classification of the atmospheric circulation patterns producing significant daily rainfall in the Spanish Mediterranean area. Int J Climatol 19(7):765–785. doi:10.1002/(SICI)1097-0088(19990615)19:7<765::AID-JOC388>3.0.CO;2-T

  • Romero R, Ramis C, Homar V (2014) On the severe convective storm of 29 October 2013 in the Balearic Islands: observational and numerical study. Q J R Meteorol Soc. doi:10.1002/qj.2429

  • Rubio A, Barnier B, Jord G, Espino M, Marsaleix P (2009) Origin and dynamics of mesoscale eddies in the Catalan Sea (NW Mediterranean): insight from a numerical model study. J Geophys Res 114(C6). doi:10.1029/2007JC004245

  • Ruti P, Somot S, Giorgi F, Dubois C, Flaounas E, Obermann A, Dell’Aquila A, Pisacane G, Harzallah A, Lombardi E, Ahrens B, Akhtar N, Alias A, Arsouze T, Raznar R, Bastin S, Bartholy J, Béranger K, Beuvier J, Bouffies-Cloche S, Brauch J, Cabos W, Calmanti S, Calvet J, Carillo A, Conte D, Coppola E, Djurdjevic V, Drobinski P, Elizalde A, Gaertner M, Galan P, Gallardo C, Gualdi S, Goncalves M, Jorba O, Jorda G, Lheveder B, Lebeaupin Brossier C, Li L, Liguori G, Lionello P, Macias-Moy D, Onol B, Rajkovic B, Ramage K, Sevault F, Sannino G, Struglia M, Sanna A, Torma C, Vervatis V (2015) MED-CORDEX initiative for Mediterranean Climate studies. Bull Am Meteorol Soc. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00176.1

  • Salameh T, Drobinski P, Dubos T (2010) The effect of indiscriminate nudging time on large and small scales in regional climate modelling: application to the Mediterranean basin. Q J R Meteorol Soc 136(646):170–182. doi:10.1002/qj.518

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Senatore A, Mendicino G, Knoche HR, Kunstmann H (2014) Sensitivity of modeled precipitation to sea surface temperature in regions with complex topography and coastlines: a case study for the Mediterranean. J Hydrometeorol 15(6):2370–2396. doi:10.1175/JHM-D-13-089.1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sevault F, Somot S, Alias A, Dubois C, Lebeaupin-Brossier C, Nabat P, Adloff F, Déqué M, Decharme B (2014) A fully coupled Mediterranean regional climate system model: design and evaluation of the ocean component for the 1980–2012 period. Tellus A 66. doi:10.3402/tellusa.v66.23967

  • Skamarock WC, Klemp JB, Dudhia J, Gill DO, Barker DM, Duda M, Huang XY, Wang W, Powers JG (2008) A description of the advanced research WRF version 3. Tech. rep, DTIC Document

  • Small R, Carniel S, Campbell T, Teixeira J, Allard R (2012) The response of the Ligurian and Tyrrhenian seas to a summer Mistral event: a coupled atmosphereocean approach. Ocean Model 48:30–44. doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2012.02.003

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stauffer DR, Seaman NL (1990) Use of four-dimensional data assimilation in a limited-area mesoscale model. part i: experiments with synoptic-scale data. Mon Weather Rev 118(6):1250–1277. doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1990)118

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stull RB (1988) An introduction to boundary Layer meteorology. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht. doi:10.1007/978-94-009-3027-8

  • The PROTHEUS Group, Artale V, Calmanti S, Carillo A,Dell’Aquila A, Herrmann M, Pisacane G, Ruti PM, Sannino G, Struglia MV, Giorgi F, Bi X, Pal JS, Rauscher S (2009) An atmosphere-ocean regional climate model for the Mediterranean area: assessment of a present climate simulation. Clim Dyn 35(5):721–740. doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0691-8

  • Tout D, Kemp V (1985) The named winds of Spain. Weather 40(10):322–329

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Valcke S (2013) The OASIS3 coupler: a European climate modelling community software. Geosci Model Dev 6:373–388. doi:10.5194/gmdd-5-2139-2012

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

This work is part of the Med-CORDEX initiative (www.medcordex.eu) supported by the HyMeX programme (www.hymex.org) through INSU-MISTRALS support. This research has received funding from the French National Research Agency (ANR) project REMEMBER (contract ANR-12-SENV-001). It was supported by the IPSL group for regional climate and environmental studies, with granted access to the HPC resources of IDRIS (under allocation i2011010227). The authors acknowledge the HyMeX database teams (ESPRI/IPSL and SEDOO/Observatoire Midi-Pyrénés) for their help in accessing the data. We thank the MYOCEAN project for providing the CNR-ISAC-GOS SST product. The authors also thank AEMET and UC for the data provided for this work (Spain02 dataset, http://www.meteo.unican.es/datasets/spain02). The authors are thankful to Robert Jones for correcting the language and to the anonymous reviewers who greatly helped to improve the manuscript.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Ségolène Berthou.

Additional information

This paper is a contribution to the special issue on Med-CORDEX, an international coordinated initiative dedicated to the multi-component regional climate modelling (atmosphere, ocean, land surface, river) of the Mediterranean under the umbrella of HyMeX, CORDEX, and Med-CLIVAR and coordinated by Samuel Somot, Paolo Ruti, Erika Coppola, Gianmaria Sannino, Bodo Ahrens, and Gabriel Jordà.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Berthou, S., Mailler, S., Drobinski, P. et al. Lagged effects of the Mistral wind on heavy precipitation through ocean-atmosphere coupling in the region of Valencia (Spain). Clim Dyn 51, 969–983 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3153-0

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3153-0

Keywords

Navigation